Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 120 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 53% on 1 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 53% on 1 Oct 2024. $1.27M traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 2:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 120 points, 4 Sep 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2024 | 6.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.4% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 2, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-as-uk-prime-minister-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 206.49 |
| limker | Yes | 164.84 |
| Connect99 | Yes | 102.04 |
| RJRJ | No | 100 |
| BetCentaur | No | 45 |
| OttomateK | Yes | 41.67 |
| JohnPorker | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
