Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9% on 30 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 248 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 19.4% on 20 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 19.4% on 20 Sep 2025. $493.42K traded over the market's life.
116 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 248 points, 30 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2025 | 9.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hilarious-Cohesion | Yes | 5.78K |
| foxrot | Yes | 3.78K |
| phronesis | Yes | 2.87K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-canada-election-called-in-2025
| Lemoe | Yes | 2.7K |
| razzial | Yes | 1.74K |
| KWall | Yes | 1.58K |
| edtok | Yes | 1.58K |
| Solar Oracle E319 | Yes | 1.39K |
| joker69420 | Yes | 1.35K |
| cyberrick | Yes | 1.32K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
