Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Yes | sell | 411.8 | $0.250 | $102.95 | Apr 27, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 401.47 |
| $0.660 |
| $264.97 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 167.46 | $0.910 | $152.39 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 173.86 | $0.825 | $143.37 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No | sell | 120.36 | $0.951 | $114.46 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?No | sell | 32.36 | $0.720 | $23.3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes | sell | 3.99 | $0.830 | $3.31 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.637 | $0.38 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.5 | $0.940 | $4.23 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.670 | $2.02 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Yes | sell | 75.24 | $0.080 | $6.02 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.35 | $0.560 | $1.88 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.690 | $0.68 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?No | sell | 8.24 | $0.210 | $1.73 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | sell | 0.68 | $0.630 | $0.43 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.92 | $0.905 | $0.83 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | sell | 92.58 | $0.045 | $4.17 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.962 | $115.41 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.964 | $19.28 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 0.79 | $0.991 | $0.78 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.72 | $0.992 | $0.71 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?No | sell | 68.06 | $0.024 | $1.63 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Claude 4.7 released by April 17?No | sell | 365 | $0.092 | $33.58 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.109 | $21.8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.864 | $172.8 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | sell | 200 | $0.962 | $192.4 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | buy | 50 | $0.199 | $9.93 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?No | sell | 42.48 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 40.36 | $0.013 | $0.52 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?No | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.27 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 57.03 | $0.210 | $11.98 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 200 | $0.024 | $4.8 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.010 | $0.77 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.023 | $4.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.180 | $4.32 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 124 | $0.559 | $69.34 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 241.41 | $0.100 | $24.14 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.267 | $13.35 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?No | sell | 40 | $0.014 | $0.55 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.952 | $38.08 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.060 | $2.4 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.48 | $0.392 | $0.97 | Apr 10, 2026 |