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Resolved Yes on 13 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 32.5%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 40.5% on 17 Mar 2026 and the low 19.5% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 20% on 18 Mar 2026. $460.91K traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 14, 6:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 40.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| burgerrrr | No | 69.01K |
| gopfan2 | No | 28.28K |
| splaym | No | 5.49K |
| Sven68 | No | 4.29K |
| snols | No | 4K |
| Roflan-ludoman | No | 3K |
| Balhor12 | No | 2.69K |
| InsiderrrZ | No | 2.55K |
| jocpolitic | No | 2.5K |
| mioki | No | 1.78K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tisza wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hungary-election-tisza-wins-at-least-seats
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