Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 41% on 24 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 46 daily closes on record from 24 Mar 2026 to 16 May 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.4% on 16 May 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 1.1% on 25 Mar 2026. $312.49K traded over the market's life.
84 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 5:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 24 Mar 2026 – 16 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Mar 2026 | 41.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 60.2K |
| snols | No | 4K |
| cisco0421 | No | 373.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-candidates-advance-to-2026-peru-presidential-runoff
| No |
| 266.25 |
| net-50CUT | Yes | 254 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 153.49 |
| ACara | No | 150.85 |
| DegenOnChainTest | No | 100 |
| p3eFbv0H3b | No | 96.56 |
| JILLY | No | 50 |
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