Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 82.56 | $0.969 | $80 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 124.75 |
| $0.986 |
| $123 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 114.43 | $0.970 | $111 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 88.89 | $0.990 | $88 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No | buy | 121.46 | $0.988 | $120 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 120 | $0.999 | $119.88 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 183.11 | $0.983 | $180 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?No | buy | 135.7 | $0.958 | $130 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 181.54 | $0.986 | $179 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No | buy | 241.45 | $0.994 | $240 | May 13, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 122.82 | $0.977 | $120 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 122.61 | $0.995 | $122 | May 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 226.07 | $0.982 | $222 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No | buy | 245.47 | $0.993 | $243.75 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 151.21 | $0.992 | $150 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?Yes | buy | 190.33 | $0.986 | $187.61 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 1?Up | buy | 132.5 | $0.978 | $129.59 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?No | buy | 279.23 | $0.992 | $277 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 281.97 | $0.993 | $280 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?No | buy | 261 | $0.996 | $259.96 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 185.57 | $0.970 | $180 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?Yes | buy | 201.86 | $0.991 | $200 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 250.25 | $0.983 | $246 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down on January 20?Down | buy | 442.21 | $0.995 | $440 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 3?No | buy | 423.12 | $0.995 | $421 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?No | buy | 23.47 | $0.980 | $23 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Aster all time high by December 31?No | buy | 323.92 | $0.991 | $321 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 130.78 | $0.994 | $130 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in November?No | buy | 430.86 | $0.998 | $430 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 376.02 | $0.984 | $370 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Yes | buy | 61.12 | $0.998 | $61 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 16?Yes | buy | 174.27 | $0.987 | $172 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 October 13-19?No | buy | 253.81 | $0.985 | $250 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 155.74 | $0.995 | $155 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 271.9 | $0.993 | $270 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 410–424 times August 8–August 15?No | buy | 271.54 | $0.998 | $271 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Solana above $160 on August 15?Yes | buy | 150.15 | $0.999 | $150 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $117m?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 313.51 | $0.992 | $311 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No | buy | 415.83 | $0.998 | $415 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No | sell | 267.06 | $0.998 | $266.53 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 13?Down | buy | 120.24 | $0.998 | $120 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?No | buy | 267.07 | $0.996 | $266 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9?No | buy | 180.18 | $0.999 | $180 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?No | buy | 192.89 | $0.985 | $190 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 230.23 | $0.999 | $230 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No | buy | 160.32 | $0.998 | $160 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 190.57 | $0.997 | $190 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?No | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 950-974 times Feb 7-14?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Feb 14, 2025 |