
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 3.1% on 2 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Aug 2026. $65.75K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 7:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 3.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Horizon 4E4A | Yes | 4.86K |
| ssccc2025 | Yes | 4.19K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 3.01K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-obtains-iranian-enriched-uranium-by
| FridayImInLove | Yes | 2.57K |
| Rapid Harbor 7051 | Yes | 2.21K |
| 79fsdfs | Yes | 1.39K |
| AIisme | Yes | 1.26K |
| Whole-Happiness | Yes | 1.12K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| contin | Yes | 502.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page