Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.038 | $0.51 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 15.27 |
| $0.220 |
| $3.36 |
| Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?Yes | buy | 41.37 | $0.051 | $2.11 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Climate fund initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes | sell | 138.13 | $0.011 | $1.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 505.13 | $0.001 | $0.61 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 505.13 | $0.004 | $2.17 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 27.84 | $0.050 | $1.39 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Revolut IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.84 | $0.144 | $4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 3.36 | $0.595 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Climate fund initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 138.13 | $0.007 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.89 | $0.072 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 242.36 | $0.044 | $10.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.003 | $0.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.033 | $6 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.225 | $7.03 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 141.33 | $0.015 | $2.12 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 212.76 | $0.032 | $6.82 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 88.86 | $0.070 | $6.22 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 163.29 | $0.047 | $7.67 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 144.37 | $0.081 | $11.67 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 144.38 | $0.032 | $4.62 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 194.6 | $0.250 | $48.65 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 39.16 | $0.026 | $1 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 42.86 | $0.060 | $2.57 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.029 | $2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.061 | $1.22 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.065 | $1.59 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 27.89 | $0.150 | $4.18 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.031 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 28, 2025 |