Latest trade
Feb 28, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:21 PM UTC.
Analytics
Fragrant-Dusk is down $315.66 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 16 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 28, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 12:21 PM UTC.
$5.1 median trade
Its latest 38 trades covered 21 markets; 68.4% were buys. They run from Nov 27, 2025 UTC to Feb 28, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 14.48 | $0.210 | $3.04 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-20 13:59 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 12:21 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
38 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 12:21 UTC
polymarket positions
17 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-20 13:59 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $22.12 and losing ones cost $4.64 across 16 settled positions. 62.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.11 on “Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?” (No); the largest loss, $1.23 on “UFC 324: Turcios vs. Smotherman (Bantamweight, Prelims)” (Smotherman).
Its most recent trade on record was on 28 Feb 2026. It has traded 21 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.03 |
| $0.900 |
| $2.73 |
| Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETDown | buy | 3.93 | $0.250 | $0.98 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | sell | 5.85 | $0.640 | $3.74 | Feb 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 37.94 | $0.720 | $27.32 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 91.05 | $0.300 | $27.31 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.85 | $0.470 | $2.75 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Bukauskas | buy | 41.04 | $0.570 | $23.39 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 324: Turcios vs. Smotherman (Bantamweight, Prelims)Smotherman | sell | 20.51 | $0.620 | $12.72 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)OMalley | sell | 16.68 | $0.640 | $10.68 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)OMalley | buy | 16.68 | $0.660 | $11.01 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?No | sell | 11.02 | $0.999 | $11.01 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 85.64 | $0.014 | $1.18 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.930 | $2.56 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | sell | 3.51 | $0.730 | $2.56 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.471 | $5.2 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.780 | $5.19 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 324: Turcios vs. Smotherman (Bantamweight, Prelims)Smotherman | buy | 20.51 | $0.680 | $13.95 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 12.85 | $0.870 | $11.18 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 18.64 | $0.600 | $11.18 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 430 | $0.400 | $172 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?No | buy | 197.04 | $0.513 | $101 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 104.78 | $0.023 | $2.44 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 91.05 | $0.200 | $18.21 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yes | sell | 43.35 | $0.420 | $18.21 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)Moreno | buy | 10.88 | $0.490 | $5.33 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
 Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.510 | $3.98 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Apple acquire Mistral by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.012 | $0.15 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
 North Korea missile launch by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.350 | $1.2 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yes | buy | 43.36 | $0.425 | $18.42 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Detroit record the first snowfall?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.860 | $2.1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Apple acquire Mistral by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| North Korea missile launch by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 119 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.