Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2025 to 28 Nov 2025, the highest close was 97.5% on 28 Nov 2025 and the lowest 15.5% on 22 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 54 points up, to 97.5% on 28 Nov 2025. $24.39K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 29, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 22 Nov 2025 – 28 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | 15.5% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.23K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.07K |
| oak | No | 337.7 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 334 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported. If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-snow-first
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 230 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 148 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 121 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 81 |
| bulbnbob | No | 38.36 |
| shine | No | 30.17 |
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