Analytics
Resolved Taira on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Taira at 54.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 29 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 30 Nov 2025 and the low 25.5% on 29 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 49% on 30 Nov 2025. $997.16K traded over the market's life.
252 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Nov 2025 – 7 Dec 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | 25.5% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Comeback12345 | Moreno | 363.27K |
| knoxgold | Moreno | 61.22K |
| SeriouslySirius | Moreno | 50.34K |
| 4-seas | Moreno | 19.37K |
| thepunterwhopunts | Moreno | 15.44K |
| benwyatt | Moreno | 8.62K |
| TradingLetsWinski | Moreno | 7.99K |
| flumm | Moreno | 6.83K |
| ViktoriouSalic | Moreno | 6.6K |
| polmarketbeggar | Moreno | 6.53K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Moreno" if Brandon Moreno is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tatsuro Taira at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Taira" if Tatsuro Taira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bra2-tat1-2025-12-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
