Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 8.5% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 3.5% on 28 Nov 2025. $9.94K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 8.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 1.4K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Stingy-Meridian | Yes | 308.18 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 306 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Mistral AI will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Apple (Apple inc.) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Mistral AI will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple or Mistral AI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-apple-acquire-mistral-by-december-31
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 273.47 |
| 26lkkdasdsa | Yes | 228.6 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 163 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 156 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 139 |
| wylzub | Yes | 128.45 |
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