Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 89.18 | $0.570 | $23.63 | -$27.2 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 21.28 |
| $0.470 |
| $1.38 |
| -$8.62 |
| sell |
| 12.03 |
| $0.400 |
| $4.81 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.240 | $2.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 51.34 | $0.080 | $4.13 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 51.35 | $0.097 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 63.64 | $0.550 | $35 | May 13, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.570 | $10.83 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 70.18 | $0.570 | $40 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 662.98 | $0.100 | $66.3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 413 | $0.080 | $33.04 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 199.98 | $0.070 | $14 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Yes | buy | 61.3 | $0.730 | $44.75 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 34.25 | $0.940 | $32.2 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Yes | buy | 25.34 | $0.670 | $16.98 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Yes | buy | 37.3 | $0.660 | $24.62 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.36K | $0.298 | $1K | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.023 | $50 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Yes | buy | 8.78 | $0.540 | $4.74 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.310 | $4.65 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?Yes | sell | 11.75 | $0.008 | $0.09 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?Yes | buy | 11.75 | $0.240 | $2.82 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.250 | $3 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?Yes | buy | 10.6 | $0.263 | $2.79 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?Yes | sell | 15.14 | $0.185 | $2.79 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Secondary tariff" or "Sanction" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.640 | $1.8 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.210 | $1.5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 40.32 | $0.248 | $10 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.026 | $1.95 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.070 | $5.25 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | Aug 2, 2025 |