Latest trade
Feb 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:20 PM UTC.
Analytics
defisurfer1 is down $476.29 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 41 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:20 PM UTC.
$50 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Dec 7, 2025 UTC to Feb 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.056 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-01 07:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:20 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 23:20 UTC
polymarket positions
42 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-01 07:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $579.32 and losing ones cost $390.9 across 41 settled positions. 75.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $219.28 on “Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?” (Yes); the largest loss, $158.17 on “Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Feb 2026. It has traded 52 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 111.11 |
| $0.011 |
| $1.22 |
| Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 263.45 | $0.770 | $202.86 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 408.16 | $0.049 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 109.89 | $0.941 | $103.41 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
 Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | sell | 236.63 | $0.140 | $33.13 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250.63 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.29K | $0.006 | $85.71 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | buy | 236.64 | $0.110 | $26.03 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29K | $0.007 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 UTC |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?No | sell | 93.14 | $0.840 | $78.24 | Dec 31, 2025 UTC |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?No | buy | 93.15 | $0.537 | $50 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear EditionNo | buy | 367.63 | $0.027 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 234.09 | $0.240 | $56.18 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.108 | $13.5 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 234.1 | $0.085 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 149.98 | $0.200 | $30 | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | sell | 111.11 | $0.290 | $32.22 | Dec 24, 2025 UTC |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 21, 2025 UTC |
 Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
| Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 116.78 | $0.856 | $100 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
| Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | sell | 222.22 | $0.100 | $22.22 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
| Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
| Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 16?No | sell | 216.53 | $0.968 | $209.6 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 16?No | buy | 216.53 | $0.986 | $213.58 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?Yes | sell | 100.2 | $0.999 | $100.1 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 15?No | sell | 101.01 | $0.999 | $100.91 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 15?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 14?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.057 | $5.7 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 13?No | buy | 154.05 | $0.994 | $153.13 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 13?No | buy | 113.56 | $0.994 | $112.88 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Yes | buy | 562.84 | $0.089 | $50 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 9?Yes | buy | 0.49 | $0.993 | $0.49 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 9?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.993 | $307.83 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 9?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.635 | $127 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 29-30°F on December 9?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.996 | $5.81 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 8?Yes | sell | 440.64 | $0.999 | $440.2 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 8?Yes | buy | 440.64 | $0.994 | $438 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 473.23 | $0.886 | $419.28 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.