Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.056 | $100 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 111.11 |
| $0.011 |
| $1.22 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 263.45 | $0.770 | $202.86 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 408.16 | $0.049 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 109.89 | $0.941 | $103.41 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | sell | 236.63 | $0.140 | $33.13 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250.63 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.29K | $0.006 | $85.71 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?No | buy | 236.64 | $0.110 | $26.03 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29K | $0.007 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?No | buy | 93.15 | $0.537 | $50 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear EditionNo | buy | 367.63 | $0.027 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 234.09 | $0.240 | $56.18 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.108 | $13.5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 234.1 | $0.085 | $20 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 149.98 | $0.200 | $30 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | sell | 111.11 | $0.290 | $32.22 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 116.78 | $0.856 | $100 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | sell | 222.22 | $0.100 | $22.22 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 16?No | sell | 216.53 | $0.968 | $209.6 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 16?No | buy | 216.53 | $0.986 | $213.58 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?Yes | sell | 100.2 | $0.999 | $100.1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 15?No | sell | 101.01 | $0.999 | $100.91 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 15?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 13?No | buy | 113.56 | $0.994 | $112.88 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Yes | buy | 562.84 | $0.089 | $50 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 9?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.635 | $127 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 29-30°F on December 9?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.996 | $5.81 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 8?Yes | sell | 440.64 | $0.999 | $440.2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 8?Yes | buy | 440.64 | $0.994 | $438 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 473.23 | $0.886 | $419.28 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 492.09 | $0.085 | $41.83 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 492.1 | $0.406 | $200 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 473.23 | $0.423 | $200 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 5?Yes | buy | 111.87 | $0.997 | $111.53 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 4?No | buy | 15 | $0.067 | $1.01 | Dec 4, 2025 |