Latest trade
Apr 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:21 AM UTC.
Analytics
shapito is down $27.88 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 8 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:21 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 33 trades covered 27 markets; 93.9% were buys. They run from Dec 5, 2025 UTC to Apr 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.352 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-09 16:17 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 02:21 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
33 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 02:21 UTC
polymarket positions
10 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-09 16:17 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $9.07 and losing ones cost $1.82 across 8 settled positions. 62.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.62 on “US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1 on “S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 8?” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Apr 2026. It has traded 27 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.59 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 2 |
| $0.290 |
| $0.58 |
| Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.489 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in December?Yes | sell | 13.26 | $0.196 | $2.6 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in December?Yes | buy | 13.26 | $0.226 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?Yes | buy | 4.11 | $0.730 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 15?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 8?Up | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 15?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.