Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:27 AM UTC.
Analytics
bernarmadov is down $250.88 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:27 AM UTC.
$80.79 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 21 markets; 60.0% were buys. They run from Oct 16, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | No | 340.3 | $0.881 | $277.34 | -$22.56 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | 4h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 07:52 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 03:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 03:27 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 07:52 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $7.76K and losing ones cost $940.94 across the latest 50 settled positions. 76% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.26K on “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?” (No); the largest loss, $192.37 on “Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 510 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.25K across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 240.1 |
| $0.833 |
| $210.09 |
| +$10.09 |
 Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24? | No | 199.21 | $0.753 | $169.33 | +$19.33 |
 Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? | No | 169.09 | $0.887 | $155.31 | +$5.31 |
 US imports Russian diesel by November 30? | Yes | 162.34 | $0.616 | $114.45 | +$14.45 |
 Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 115.31 | $0.867 | $110.24 | +$10.24 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 135.27 | $0.739 | $106.86 | +$6.86 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 138.9 | $0.720 | $102.09 | +$2.09 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes| sell |
| 126.9 |
| $0.900 |
| $114.21 |
| 6h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | buy | 64.97 | $0.770 | $50 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes | buy | 61.94 | $0.807 | $50 | 7h ago |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes | sell | 55.58 | $0.911 | $50.63 | 7h ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 135.27 | $0.739 | $100 | 8h ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?No | buy | 120.6 | $0.829 | $100 | 9h ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Yes | buy | 52.69 | $0.820 | $43.21 | 13h ago |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | 14h ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | 15h ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Yes | buy | 8.28 | $0.820 | $6.79 | 15h ago |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Yes | buy | 162.34 | $0.616 | $100 | 17h ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?No | buy | 111 | $0.900 | $99.9 | 20h ago |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 21?No | buy | 103.84 | $0.963 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?No | buy | 75.76 | $0.660 | $50 | 1d ago |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | sell | 112.35 | $0.880 | $98.87 | 1d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 227.39 | $0.909 | $206.64 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes | buy | 115.31 | $0.867 | $100 | 1d ago |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 155.4 | $0.674 | $104.74 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 73.54 | $0.680 | $50 | 1d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 81.86 | $0.611 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes | sell | 115.39 | $0.911 | $105.12 | 1d ago |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Yes | buy | 179.13 | $0.837 | $150 | 1d ago |
 Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 294.06 | $0.140 | $41.17 | 2d ago |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.140 | $7.14 | 2d ago |
| Paris curfew by October 21?Yes | sell | 111.17 | $0.990 | $110.06 | 2d ago |
| Paris curfew by October 21?Yes | buy | 111.17 | $0.900 | $100 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 181.81 | $0.623 | $113.23 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Paris curfew by October 21?Yes | sell | 114.31 | $0.382 | $43.68 | 2d ago |
| Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 89.28 | $0.702 | $62.7 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes | buy | 57.62 | $0.868 | $50 | 2d ago |
| Paris curfew by October 21?Yes | buy | 114.31 | $0.350 | $40 | 2d ago |
| Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.560 | $50 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes | buy | 57.77 | $0.866 | $50 | 2d ago |
 Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes | buy | 107.87 | $0.927 | $100 | 3d ago |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 169.09 | $0.887 | $150 | 3d ago |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 345.07 | $0.145 | $50 | 4d ago |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 55.59 | $0.899 | $50 | 4d ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 4d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?No | sell | 38.21 | $0.968 | $36.99 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.890 | $4.83 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?No | sell | 194.59 | $0.790 | $153.73 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 5d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.