Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 8% on 16 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 19.5% on 27 Sep 2026. $168.52K traded over the market's life.
297 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 11:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 35.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 63.04K |
| bahaybetren | Yes | 4.65K |
| MintAlert | Yes | 3.84K |
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-russia-decision-in-october-20260724021538830
| Yes |
| 3.2K |
| Convex79 | Yes | 3.02K |
| Kykliv | Yes | 2.95K |
| Moonmoo | Yes | 2.5K |
| 750S | Yes | 2.09K |
| Baz777 | Yes | 2.05K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 1.87K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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