Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 1.52K | $0.385 | $1.17K | +$579.72 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 37.26 | $0.690 | $25.71 | 3d ago |
![]() |
| No |
| 1.2K |
| $0.795 |
| $954.06 |
| +$0.36 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 720.27 | $0.734 | $673.45 | +$144.95 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 570.64 | $0.876 | $533.55 | +$33.55 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.352 | $530 | +$178 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 588.24 | $0.850 | $499.41 | -$0.59 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 578.71 | $0.442 | $494.8 | +$239.03 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 491.05 | $0.611 | $459.13 | +$159.13 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.342 | $361.9 | +$15.12 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 392.68 | $0.820 | $339.67 | +$17.67 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 329.67 | $0.910 | $316.32 | +$16.32 |
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31? | No | 333.39 | $0.900 | $315.05 | +$15.05 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 290.12 | $0.827 | $285.63 | +$45.63 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 237.5 | $0.800 | $235.84 | +$45.84 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | No | 276.66 | $0.723 | $203.34 | +$3.34 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 295.91 | $0.361 | $181.99 | +$74.99 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | No | 420.85 | $0.420 | $174.65 | -$2.14 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 204.49 | $0.650 | $168.71 | +$35.79 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 204.74 | $0.616 | $155.6 | +$29.56 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 195.84 | $0.680 | $143.94 | +$10.77 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | No | 526.61 | $0.190 | $76.36 | -$23.64 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 176.47 | $0.850 | $66.18 | -$83.83 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 64.41 | $0.590 | $48.31 | +$10.31 |
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 37.26 | $0.690 | $30.89 | +$5.18 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15.87 | +$0.87 |
| sell |
| 109.89 |
| $0.999 |
| $109.78 |
| 3d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 355.9 | $0.999 | $355.54 | 3d ago |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 691.63 | $0.342 | $236.78 | 12d ago |
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 232.8 | $0.999 | $232.57 | 12d ago |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 323.53 | $0.340 | $110 | 12d ago |
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?No | buy | 120.35 | $0.914 | $110 | 20d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?No | buy | 69.83 | $0.716 | $50 | 20d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?No | buy | 69.83 | $0.716 | $50 | 20d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 17-23?No | buy | 139.66 | $0.716 | $100 | 20d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 17-23?No | buy | 55.8 | $0.896 | $50 | 20d ago |
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 August 17-23?No | buy | 223.35 | $0.895 | $200 | 20d ago |
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?No | buy | 333.39 | $0.900 | $300 | 27d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.930 | $300 | 27d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 179.39 | $0.446 | $80 | 29d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | 29d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?No | buy | 148.5 | $0.673 | $100 | 29d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 10 2026?No | buy | 326.94 | $0.918 | $300 | 29d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 119.85 | $0.918 | $110 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?No | sell | 108.83 | $0.983 | $106.98 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 345.35 | $0.898 | $310 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | sell | 310.96 | $0.999 | $310.65 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 477.82 | $0.837 | $400 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.850 | $500 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?No | sell | 334.99 | $0.335 | $112.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?No | sell | 317.41 | $0.691 | $219.43 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | buy | 206.39 | $0.969 | $200 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Yes | buy | 104.58 | $0.956 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 243.9 | $0.820 | $200 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | buy | 232.56 | $0.860 | $200 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 570.64 | $0.876 | $500 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 307.69 | $0.975 | $300 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 102.35 | $0.928 | $95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?No | buy | 219.3 | $0.912 | $200 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 113.33 | $0.927 | $105 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No | sell | 107.52 | $0.998 | $107.3 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 119.47 | $0.920 | $109.96 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No | sell | 211 | $0.999 | $210.79 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 86.6 | $0.780 | $67.55 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No | sell | 61.32 | $0.999 | $61.26 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.840 | $140 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 105.35 | $0.570 | $60 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | sell | 206.36 | $0.999 | $206.15 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 107.36 | $0.978 | $105 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | sell | 105.7 | $0.999 | $105.59 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?No | buy | 108.84 | $0.919 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?No | buy | 132.76 | $0.650 | $86.29 | Jul 30, 2026 |