Latest trade
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:25 AM UTC.
Analytics
RiskOnRad has made $226.59 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 26 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-27 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:25 AM UTC.
$7.61 median trade
Its latest 49 trades covered 39 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Dec 16, 2024 UTC to Jun 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No | buy | 1.72K | $0.090 | $154.9 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-27 14:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 06:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
49 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 06:25 UTC
polymarket positions
27 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-27 14:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.42K and losing ones cost $1.01K across 26 settled positions. 34.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $673.05 on “Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?” (No); the largest loss, $448 on “Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Jun 2026. It has traded 39 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No| buy |
| 865.88 |
| $0.550 |
| $476.4 |
| Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 597.65 | $0.460 | $274.92 | May 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No | buy | 473.82 | $0.535 | $253.33 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 201.35 | $0.666 | $134 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 138.46 | $0.650 | $90 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 153.92 | $0.650 | $100 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 160.24 | $0.649 | $104 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Microsoft buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Amazon buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 12.79 | $0.078 | $1 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sam Altman buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Israel military action against Iran before June?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lee Jun-seok endorse another candidate?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.167 | $1 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?Yes | buy | 25.91 | $0.077 | $2 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Lee Jae-myung?Yes | buy | 238.89 | $0.008 | $2 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 219.81 | $0.014 | $3 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 123.74 | $0.024 | $3 | May 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.049 | $2 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?Yes | buy | 185.93 | $0.027 | $5 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 223.88 | $0.670 | $150 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?No | buy | 584.01 | $0.500 | $291.87 | May 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?No | buy | 263.94 | $0.470 | $124.05 | May 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?No | buy | 533.18 | $0.548 | $292.16 | May 2, 2025 UTC |
 Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
 TikTok banned in 2025?No | buy | 56.76 | $0.370 | $21 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will West Ham vs. Fulham end in a draw?Yes | buy | 13.29 | $0.376 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14?Yes | buy | 14.43 | $0.347 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?Yes | buy | 15.08 | $0.650 | $9.8 | Jan 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 16.6 | $0.890 | $14.77 | Jan 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Chelsea vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-14?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jan 12, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.540 | $15 | Jan 12, 2025 UTC |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jan 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Jan 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 50 | $0.003 | $0.15 | Dec 24, 2024 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 9.73 | $0.620 | $6.03 | Dec 24, 2024 UTC |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 12.27 | $0.620 | $7.61 | Dec 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by tomorrow?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.730 | $10.22 | Dec 18, 2024 UTC |
 Luigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?Yes | buy | 8.53 | $0.190 | $1.62 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
| Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 533.33 | $0.027 | $14.4 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.74 | $0.027 | $0.29 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.29 | $0.972 | $10 | Dec 16, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.