Latest trade
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:03 PM UTC.
Fake-Grain has made $1.54 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:03 PM UTC.
$1.8 median trade
Its latest 30 trades covered 27 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Mar 18, 2026 UTC to Oct 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 9.94 | $0.312 | $9.69 | +$6.59 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 2.57 | $0.700 | $1.8 | 10d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 06:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
30 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:03 UTC
polymarket positions
19 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.04 on “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 13 Oct 2026. It has traded 27 markets. Its open positions are worth $18.35 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.55 |
| $0.705 |
| $2.47 |
| +$0.67 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 2.57 | $0.700 | $2.25 | +$0.45 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2.01 | $0.598 | $1.98 | +$0.78 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 2.35 | $0.810 | $1.96 | +$0.06 |
| buy |
| 1.67 |
| $0.960 |
| $1.6 |
| 25d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.810 | $1.9 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.960 | $5.21 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.944 | $5.13 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.420 | $2.2 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.920 | $1.6 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.56 | $0.463 | $1.65 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.980 | $5.25 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.975 | $5.23 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.584 | $1.8 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.962 | $1.3 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.598 | $1.2 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.960 | $2.3 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.905 | $1.6 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.650 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.71 | $0.970 | $5.54 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.960 | $5.49 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.318 | $1.4 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.19 | $0.640 | $1.4 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.55 | $0.705 | $1.8 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.965 | $1.5 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.613 | $1.28 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.950 | $1.2 | May 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.650 | $3.3 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.985 | $1.12 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.312 | $3.1 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 5.76 | $0.900 | $5.18 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.510 | $1.2 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 4.25 | $0.992 | $4.22 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.