Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.51 | $0.410 | $8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 52.17 |
| $0.230 |
| $12 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.05 | $0.200 | $9.41 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.06 | $0.170 | $8 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs DjokovicAlcaraz | buy | 45.59 | $0.680 | $31 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.04 | $0.350 | $5.61 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.6 | $0.150 | $9.99 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?Yes | buy | 30.56 | $0.108 | $3.3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Australia PM events on October 20?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.038 | $1.5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.04 | $0.230 | $3.69 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 27.59 | $0.290 | $8 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will the Penrith Panthers win the 2025 National Rugby League?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.076 | $8 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Megaquake by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 52.71 | $0.009 | $0.47 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.025 | $8 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?Yes | sell | 18.75 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Aug 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 52.71 | $0.070 | $3.69 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Yes | buy | 12.39 | $0.710 | $8.8 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Megaquake by August 31?Yes | buy | 36.67 | $0.090 | $3.3 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 31?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Megaquake in 2025?Yes | sell | 92.44 | $0.980 | $90.59 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 42.72 | $0.335 | $14.32 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.156 | $10.4 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 86.38 | $0.058 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.099 | $1.5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.127 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 24?Yes | sell | 10.71 | $0.510 | $5.46 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.042 | $7.04 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 24?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.012 | $2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 42.73 | $0.117 | $5 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.120 | $8 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 21.22 | $0.470 | $9.97 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?Yes | buy | 43.57 | $0.069 | $3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 12.12 | $0.800 | $9.7 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 14.81 | $0.900 | $13.33 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 21.22 | $0.377 | $8 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 12.12 | $0.660 | $8 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Megaquake in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?Yes | buy | 7.8 | $0.641 | $5 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Megaquake in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.5 | $0.356 | $8 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Megaquake in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 91.27 | $0.096 | $8.8 | May 18, 2025 |
| Megaquake in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | May 18, 2025 |
| Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?Yes | buy | 7.33 | $0.450 | $3.3 | May 13, 2025 |