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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 50.75 | $0.690 | $48.46 | +$13.46 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 36.13 | $0.277 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 38.09 |
| $0.394 |
| $33.71 |
| +$18.71 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 51.02 | $0.490 | $30.1 | +$5.1 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 76.07 | $0.263 | $13.31 | -$6.69 |
| sell |
| 84.75 |
| $0.385 |
| $32.63 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | sell | 9.8 | $0.910 | $8.92 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.18 | $0.425 | $20.91 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 17.44 | $0.911 | $15.89 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No | buy | 15.9 | $0.629 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.74 | $0.699 | $11 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.640 | $25.6 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 14.44 | $0.485 | $7 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 13.01 | $0.769 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 14.96 | $0.668 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 48.78 | $0.512 | $25 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.750 | $25 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 12.37 | $0.014 | $0.17 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?Up | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 12.38 | $0.404 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 65.78 | $0.151 | $9.93 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.680 | $11.33 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.270 | $9 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.930 | $10.33 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?Yes | sell | 13.69 | $0.570 | $7.8 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.250 | $7.81 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 42.74 | $0.117 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 42.02 | $0.119 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.03 | $0.624 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 58.16 | $0.640 | $37.22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 25.33 | $0.998 | $25.28 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.870 | $19.33 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 126.36 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 75.19 | $0.133 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |