Latest trade
Feb 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 11:41 AM UTC.
Adored-Necktie is down $395.09 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 33 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 11:41 AM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 46.0% were buys. They run from Jan 17, 2026 UTC to Feb 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 250 | $0.012 | $2.13 | -$0.88 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.690 | $12 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 07:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 11:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 11:41 UTC
polymarket positions
34 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 07:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $37.2 and losing ones cost $150.97 across 33 settled positions. 30.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.05 on “Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $101.5 on “Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Feb 2026. It has traded 86 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.26 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 0.14 |
| $0.830 |
| $0.14 |
| +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 15.79 |
| $0.053 |
| $0.84 |
| Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 204.93 | $0.005 | $1.12 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.290 | $3.22 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 130.32 | $0.054 | $7.01 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?Yes | buy | 529.84 | $0.008 | $4.5 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 19?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 19?Yes | buy | 502.6 | $0.020 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Yes | sell | 199.55 | $0.015 | $3.08 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?Yes | sell | 363.74 | $0.022 | $8.02 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?Yes | buy | 363.5 | $0.011 | $4 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 19?Yes | buy | 417.27 | $0.012 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 19?Yes | buy | 331.15 | $0.033 | $11 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 20?No | sell | 133.33 | $0.019 | $2.54 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 310.34 | $0.031 | $9.62 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 818.27 | $0.008 | $6.75 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.003 | $7.5 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 18?Yes | buy | 7.61K | $0.001 | $7.61 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.025 | $7.6 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?Yes | buy | 504.44 | $0.009 | $4.54 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 6.94 | $0.800 | $5.55 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $102,000 on January 19?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 12-18?Yes | buy | 952.18 | $0.004 | $3.34 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 12-18?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes | sell | 28.08 | $0.430 | $12.07 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.017 | $30 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?Yes | buy | 5.52K | $0.014 | $75 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.740 | $0.95 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.070 | $1.75 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.75 | $0.123 | $2.3 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.210 | $2.21 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 7.69 | $0.460 | $3.54 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.340 | $4.86 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.180 | $4.74 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.520 | $4.81 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.420 | $3.56 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.520 | $6.5 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?No | sell | 100.39 | $0.648 | $65.05 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 18?Yes | buy | 451.54 | $0.013 | $5.87 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.999 | $5.87 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 18?Yes | buy | 8.83K | $0.001 | $8.83 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
GPT ads by March 31?No | sell | 286.26 | $0.031 | $8.83 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
Timberwolves vs. RocketsTimberwolves | buy | 53.55 | $0.110 | $5.89 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?Down | buy | 1.02K | $0.100 | $101.5 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of January?Yes | buy | 252.29 | $0.020 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.010 | $6 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 250 | $0.012 | $3 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
GPT ads by March 31?No | buy | 73.73 | $0.054 | $4 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.