Latest trade
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:55 AM UTC.
Analytics
fed26 has made $1.96K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 28 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 1:55 AM UTC.
$31.18 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 7 markets; 58.0% were buys. They run from Jun 18, 2026 UTC to Jul 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 262.62K | $0.395 | $253.82K | +$150.06K |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 126.45 | $0.063 | $7.93 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 20:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 01:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 01:55 UTC
polymarket positions
29 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 20:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $26.42K and losing ones cost $29.11K across 28 settled positions. 60.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.4K on “No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $9.95K on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Jul 2026. It has traded 34 markets. Its open positions are worth $263.23K across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.38K |
| $0.387 |
| $3.28K |
| +$1.97K |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 2.35K | $0.499 | $2.31K | +$1.13K |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 105.06K | $0.014 | $1.89K | +$408.59 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 340.98K | $0.009 | $1.88K | -$1.19K |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2.78K | $0.404 | $27.8 | -$1.1K |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 99.47 | $0.079 | $19.7 | +$11.84 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2 | $0.828 | $1.99 | +$0.34 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.057 |
| $0.29 |
| Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.057 | $1.77 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.057 | $0.29 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.845 | $4.23 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 85.93 | $0.065 | $5.59 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 43.7 | $0.096 | $4.2 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.8K | $0.096 | $365.05 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.39 | $0.096 | $6.37 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.096 | $576 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.092 | $0.54 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 150.96 | $0.092 | $13.89 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 536.89 | $0.300 | $160.94 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 314.07 | $0.520 | $163.32 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.175 | $197.63 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.202 | $272.73 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.29K | $0.814 | $4.31K | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4.37K | $0.830 | $3.63K | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.570 | $1.67K | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.570 | $13.26 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 100.49 | $0.570 | $57.28 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 125.42 | $0.570 | $71.49 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 862 | $0.570 | $491.34 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.570 | $0.98 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.570 | $0.01 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.570 | $1.17 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.73 | $0.570 | $0.99 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.34 | $0.570 | $1.33 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.570 | $0.98 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.570 | $1.33 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.570 | $13.26 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.8 | $0.570 | $13.57 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.570 | $33.14 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 89.31 | $0.570 | $50.91 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 40.75 | $0.974 | $39.69 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 28.21 | $0.974 | $27.48 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 101.3 | $0.974 | $98.67 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 50.07 | $0.974 | $48.77 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.974 | $29.22 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.974 | $7.49 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 61.36 | $0.974 | $59.76 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 65.49 | $0.974 | $63.79 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 58.33 | $0.974 | $56.81 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 443 | $0.974 | $431.48 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 62.37 | $0.974 | $60.75 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 56.27 | $0.974 | $54.81 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 35.4 | $0.974 | $34.48 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 65.36 | $0.974 | $63.66 | Jun 18, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.