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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 380 | $0.518 | $196.83 | Jan 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 555.56 |
| $0.360 |
| $200 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
 Champions League Final: 3+ goals?No | buy | 119.52 | $0.420 | $50.2 | May 31, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensNo | buy | 44.54 | $0.341 | $15.2 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 43.43 | $0.350 | $15.2 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 43.43 | $0.230 | $9.99 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.996 | $1.05K | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.066 | $10 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | sell | 694.14 | $0.030 | $20.82 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 952.22 | $0.950 | $905.07 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 106.8 | $0.960 | $102.53 | Dec 14, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | buy | 235.25 | $0.080 | $18.82 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?No | sell | 47.33 | $0.469 | $22.18 | Nov 27, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?No | buy | 47.33 | $0.423 | $20 | Nov 27, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Nov 21, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | sell | 129.48 | $0.790 | $102.29 | Nov 21, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | buy | 129.48 | $0.640 | $82.87 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | buy | 311.91 | $0.320 | $99.81 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | buy | 84.49 | $0.470 | $39.71 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 40.53 | $0.980 | $39.71 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 40.53 | $0.283 | $11.47 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | sell | 39.18 | $0.293 | $11.46 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 39.18 | $0.500 | $19.59 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran in October?No | sell | 31 | $0.632 | $19.59 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Israel military response against Iran in October?No | buy | 111.63 | $0.203 | $22.66 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?No | sell | 14.38 | $0.950 | $13.66 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.037 | $10 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?No | buy | 14.39 | $0.570 | $8.2 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.018 | $0.53 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Friday?Yes | sell | 30.43 | $0.190 | $5.78 | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
| Iran military response by Friday?Yes | buy | 30.43 | $0.230 | $7 | Aug 13, 2024 |