Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 28, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$2.5M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 28, 2025 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 28 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 82.5% on 13 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2024 to 28 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 27 Jan 2025 and the lowest 82.5% on 13 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 94.5% on 14 Dec 2024. $2.53M traded over the market's life.

374 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 29, 12:31 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 13 Dec 2024 – 28 Jan 2025, chart shows 75%–100%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	193.45K
LuFun	No	163.48K
777vip	No	16.48K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Belarus on January 26, 2025. If no candidate achieves a majority, a second round of elections will be scheduled between the top two candidates. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexander Lukashenko wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Belarusian Government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Цэнтральная выбарчая камісія Беларусі, CEC) (https://www.rec.gov.by/en/).