Latest trade
Jan 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:03 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
ThaddeusLucretius is down $1.61 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-08 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Jan 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 10:03 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Dec 25, 2024 UTC to Jan 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
No chart history is available for this wallet yet.
The Sources tab shows which records are available.
Open positions could not be confirmed. Missing data does not mean this wallet holds no positions.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 9.24 | $0.998 | $9.22 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-08 06:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-27 22:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 22:03 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Jan 2026. It has traded 41 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 5.03 |
| $0.966 |
| $4.86 |
| Aug 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.977 | $5.1 | Aug 12, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.03 | $0.350 | $2.11 | Aug 10, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.700 | $4.22 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin be more than $104000 on February 14?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.999 | $5.02 | Feb 14, 2025 UTC |
 Ripple above $2.35 on February 14?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will ETHBTC be more than .033 on February 7?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.999 | $5.02 | Feb 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $100 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.998 | $5.02 | Jan 25, 2025 UTC |
 Dogecoin above $0.40 on January 24?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jan 24, 2025 UTC |
 Solana above $215 on January 24?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.998 | $5.03 | Jan 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.948 | $4.77 | Jan 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.993 | $5.01 | Jan 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.997 | $5.01 | Jan 17, 2025 UTC |
 Southampton wins the Premier League?No | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Jan 17, 2025 UTC |
 West Ham United wins the Premier League?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.992 | $4.99 | Jan 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.993 | $4.99 | Jan 13, 2025 UTC |
| West Ham United wins the Premier League?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.996 | $5.01 | Jan 13, 2025 UTC |
| Southampton wins the Premier League?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 13, 2025 UTC |
 Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 10?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.999 | $5.03 | Jan 10, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Jan 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.996 | $5.03 | Jan 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.996 | $5.03 | Jan 4, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.996 | $5.01 | Jan 4, 2025 UTC |
 Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.999 | $5.02 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.994 | $5.01 | Jan 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Jan 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.995 | $4.99 | Jan 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.999 | $5.04 | Dec 28, 2024 UTC |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.997 | $5.03 | Dec 28, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.999 | $5.03 | Dec 28, 2024 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Dec 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.988 | $4.99 | Dec 28, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.989 | $4.99 | Dec 26, 2024 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Dec 26, 2024 UTC |
 Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?No | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Dec 26, 2024 UTC |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2024?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 26, 2024 UTC |
 Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Dec 26, 2024 UTC |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Dec 25, 2024 UTC |
| Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 UTC |
| Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2024?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 UTC |
 Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 UTC |
| Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.997 | $5.01 | Dec 25, 2024 UTC |
 Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.