Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 9.5% on 5 Jan 2025 and the low 0.2% on 28 Dec 2025. $124.3K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 367 points · 1 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 8.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elitesafetyzone | Yes | 1.05K |
| SackboyIndustries | Yes | 645.42 |
| JimmySimons | No | 500 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump announce their intention to divorce between December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump , and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-divorce-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| Anjun | Yes | 443.98 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| kamarat | Yes | 300 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 189.97 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 164.98 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 149.99 |
| aleuijipv | No | 109.89 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
