
Resolved No on 14 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 12% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 14 Feb 2025, the highest close was 12% on 8 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 14 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.1 points down, to 2.4% on 12 Feb 2025. $58K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 9:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 14 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2025 | 12.0% |
| 14 Feb 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 32.99K |
| Cormac | Yes | 88 |
| JSK030 | No | 0.05 |
| dolmil | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to according to the final “Close” price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 14 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-february-14
| testeman | No | 0.02 |
| otencrtu | No | 0.01 |
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