Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 0.8 | $0.440 | $0.64 | +$0.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.160 | $2.56 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| No |
| 0.44 |
| $0.618 |
| $0.3 |
| +$0.03 |
 Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027? | No | 0.28 | $0.650 | $0.22 | +$0.04 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | No | 0.22 | $0.500 | $0.18 | +$0.07 |
| Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? | Yes | 0.24 | $0.600 | $0.1 | -$0.05 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | Yes | 0.33 | $0.502 | $0.03 | -$0.14 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.49 | $0.580 | $0.01 | -$0.28 |
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?No| sell |
| 19 |
| $0.011 |
| $0.21 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?No | sell | 40 | $0.012 | $0.48 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?No | sell | 12 | $0.660 | $7.92 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 120 | $0.140 | $16.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 202 | $0.170 | $34.34 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 202 | $0.850 | $171.7 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3 | $0.430 | $1.29 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.170 | $0.51 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.540 | $3.24 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No | sell | 11 | $0.750 | $8.25 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | sell | 12 | $0.720 | $8.64 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?No | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.090 | $2.07 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.190 | $2.23 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will U.S. Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 31 | $0.140 | $4.34 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.370 | $12.21 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 36 | $0.350 | $12.6 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No | sell | 36 | $0.060 | $2.16 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 42 | $0.380 | $15.96 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.89 | $0.710 | $9.15 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.130 | $5.85 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.780 | $35.1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.410 | $18.86 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.380 | $17.48 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes | sell | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 149 | $0.999 | $148.85 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 33.82 | $0.150 | $5.07 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.220 | $0.88 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.060 | $0.66 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.047 | $0.47 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.410 | $5.33 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?No | sell | 17 | $0.580 | $9.86 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 28.84 | $0.400 | $11.54 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.360 | $15.48 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.450 | $19.35 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?No | sell | 19 | $0.520 | $9.88 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 26?No | sell | 44 | $0.620 | $27.28 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 26?No | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.470 | $3.29 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.420 | $7.98 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?No | sell | 24 | $0.520 | $12.48 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?No | sell | 9 | $0.600 | $5.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 26?No | sell | 27 | $0.580 | $15.66 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?No | sell | 33.36 | $0.610 | $20.35 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 26?Yes | sell | 21.79 | $0.430 | $9.37 | Jun 25, 2026 |