Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 12 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 160 daily closes on record from 12 May 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 25 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 45.5% on 23 Jun 2026. $110.21K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 160 points, 12 May 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | 37.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 13.67K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.39K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 1.39K |
This market will resolve to the political party of the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the Prime Minister must be both formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the prime minister comes from inside parliament, the party of the Prime Minister will be determined based on their formal party affiliation at the time they become Prime Minister. If the Prime Minister comes from outside parliament, their party will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting on which party they represent, hold membership in, or are formally affiliated with. If no clear affiliation exists, this market will resolve to “Independent/Technocrat”. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/party-of-next-prime-minister-of-romania-788
| MARIUSMC | Yes | 1.34K |
| Razor77 | Yes | 1.27K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| rip | Yes | 500 |
| ElUnico | Yes | 417.73 |
| Alfred-PIM | Yes | 384.31 |
| Io2048 | Yes | 313.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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