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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 9.71K | $0.103 | $951.46 | -$48.54 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.995 | $1.77K | Apr 8, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 1.59K |
| $0.219 |
| $320.21 |
| -$27.87 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.5K | $0.100 | $75.25 | -$274.75 |
| buy |
| 1.59K |
| $0.219 |
| $348.08 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.71K | $0.103 | $1K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 102.79 | $0.973 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.450 | $800 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.82K | $0.036 | $500 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 22.5K | $0.102 | $2.29K | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.09K | $0.217 | $454.21 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.800 | $4.94 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown | buy | 8.97 | $0.540 | $4.85 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.080 | $150 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.050 | $150 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.060 | $180 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.072 | $179.58 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 18?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.01K | $0.009 | $165 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.100 | $350 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | sell | 526.31 | $0.485 | $255.13 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 169.47 | $0.590 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.380 | $200 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.189 | $300 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.210 | $300 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.167 | $350 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | sell | 1.57K | $0.959 | $1.5K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.57K | $0.880 | $1.38K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.640 | $228.57 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 101.3 | $0.044 | $4.46 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.89K | $0.346 | $1K | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25K | $0.076 | $1.9K | Jan 6, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.46 | $0.328 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Trump" on Jimmy Kimmel Live?Yes | buy | 213.62 | $0.936 | $200 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Democracy" 2+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?Yes | buy | 128.82 | $0.776 | $100 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Election" 3+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?Yes | buy | 123.5 | $0.810 | $100 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Jimmy Kimmel Live?No | buy | 25.83 | $0.968 | $25 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Christmas" on Jimmy Kimmel Live?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 636.19 | $0.950 | $604.38 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 101.31 | $0.494 | $50 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes | buy | 146.39 | $0.960 | $140.53 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes | buy | 508 | $0.960 | $487.78 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.006 | $10 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 149.82 | $0.890 | $133.34 | May 14, 2025 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo | buy | 57.87 | $0.470 | $27.2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?No | buy | 1.72K | $0.120 | $206.65 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?Kamala | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will RFK drop out before November?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.860 | $900 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 205.34 | $0.487 | $100 | Aug 20, 2024 |
| Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Aug 20, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Jun 30, 2024 |