Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 151.76 | $0.995 | $151 | 16d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 161.94 |
| $0.988 |
| $160 |
| 19d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?No | buy | 101.91 | $0.981 | $100 | 19d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 121.7 | $0.986 | $120 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.58 | $0.962 | $40 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.91 | $0.991 | $100 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 101.52 | $0.985 | $100 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No | buy | 125.39 | $0.957 | $120 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 124.35 | $0.965 | $120 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 135.3 | $0.983 | $133 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 61.54 | $0.975 | $60 | May 22, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 180 | $0.950 | $171 | May 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 162.36 | $0.967 | $157 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 323.79 | $0.994 | $321.85 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports | buy | 179.84 | $0.983 | $176.82 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 152.76 | $0.980 | $149.7 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 160.64 | $0.996 | $160 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 164.27 | $0.974 | $160 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 164.27 | $0.974 | $160 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 146.97 | $0.953 | $140 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 117.28 | $0.972 | $114 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No | buy | 196.6 | $0.992 | $195.03 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 303.34 | $0.989 | $300 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?No | buy | 181.36 | $0.998 | $181 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?No | buy | 123.11 | $0.991 | $122 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?No | buy | 174.04 | $0.994 | $173 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 122.49 | $0.996 | $122 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?No | buy | 294.47 | $0.995 | $293 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?No | buy | 295.81 | $0.997 | $295 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 282.7 | $0.994 | $281 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | buy | 277.83 | $0.997 | $277 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $240 on October 13?No | buy | 170.19 | $0.993 | $169 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?No | buy | 118.95 | $0.992 | $118 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?No | buy | 202.22 | $0.989 | $200 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 70.64 | $0.991 | $70 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?No | buy | 284.14 | $0.996 | $283 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3400 on August 8?No | buy | 75.08 | $0.999 | $75 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 7?Up | buy | 212.77 | $0.940 | $200 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 79.96 | $0.963 | $77 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 11–18?No | buy | 191.92 | $0.990 | $190 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?Yes | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Dogecoin all time high by June 30?No | buy | 100.91 | $0.991 | $100 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | buy | 161.62 | $0.990 | $160 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 237.42 | $0.994 | $236 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be 48.5% or higher on April 4?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?Yes | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April?No | buy | 88.26 | $0.997 | $88 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?No | buy | 100.3 | $0.997 | $100 | Apr 2, 2025 |