Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 3% on 31 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 7.1% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.6 points up, to 7.1% on 7 Aug 2026. $36.67K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 5:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-august-31-20260730185522346
| Yes |
| 708.02 |
| First-Expert | Yes | 389.62 |
| Prickly-Passport | Yes | 252.5 |
| felon23 | Yes | 187.81 |
| MessyPrediction | Yes | 125 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 |
| Comfortable-Response | Yes | 74.71 |
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