Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 120 | $0.250 | $64.2 | +$34.2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 506.18 | $0.083 | $41.79 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 506.18 |
| $0.083 |
| $44.8 |
| +$3.01 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 108.11 | $0.370 | $38.38 | -$1.62 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 120 | $0.250 | $25.2 | -$4.8 |
 Will Florida have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 65.22 | $0.460 | $25.11 | -$4.89 |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 111.11 | $0.270 | $16.67 | -$13.33 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 101.88 | $0.149 | $16.15 | +$0.97 |
| Will Florida have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 68.97 | $0.290 | $15.52 | -$4.48 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 209 | $0.096 | $13.59 | -$6.41 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $13.5 | -$6.5 |
 Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.020 | $12 | -$18 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $11.15 | +$1.15 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 62.5 | $0.160 | $8.44 | -$1.56 |
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2.98K | $0.031 | $7.46 | -$85.54 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.830 |
| $41.5 |
| 6d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 81.64 | $0.025 | $2.04 | 6d ago |
 Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 121.26 | $0.033 | $4 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.030 | $3.5 | 22d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 224.58 | $0.036 | $8.11 | 22d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 101.88 | $0.149 | $15.18 | 24d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 81.64 | $0.184 | $15 | 24d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | 24d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 209 | $0.096 | $20 | 24d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Florida have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | 24d ago |
| Will Florida have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | 24d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | 24d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 108.11 | $0.370 | $40 | 24d ago |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.270 | $30 | 24d ago |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 3.21K | $0.031 | $100 | 24d ago |
| Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 814.62 | $0.049 | $40 | 24d ago |
| Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.020 | $30 | 24d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | 24d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.027 | $50 | 24d ago |
 Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.021 | $12.6 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 1.91K | $0.010 | $19.09 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.107 | $32.1 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.138 | $41.4 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.810 | $121.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Trump vs. Biden: Staircase OlympicsTrump | buy | 130.95 | $0.740 | $96.9 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.032 | $19.2 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.119 | $35.7 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.139 | $41.7 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.014 | $25.28 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.700 | $105 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?Yes | buy | 578.05 | $0.780 | $450.88 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Biden say "Jill" during drop out speech?No | buy | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.570 | $54.15 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Will Biden say "Jill" during drop out speech?No | buy | 167.03 | $0.180 | $30.07 | Jul 24, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.571 | $2.85 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 725.15 | $0.330 | $239.3 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.850 | $1.22K | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 33.34 | $0.180 | $6 | Jul 20, 2024 |
 Will three SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 541.81 | $0.189 | $102.4 | Jul 20, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.640 | $102.4 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 525.89 | $0.515 | $270.83 | Jul 20, 2024 |
 Will Biden drop out by Monday?Yes | sell | 245.6 | $0.150 | $36.84 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Biden drop out by Monday?Yes | buy | 220.6 | $0.742 | $163.58 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Will Biden drop out by Monday?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.740 | $18.5 | Jul 19, 2024 |