Latest trade
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
Profitable-Scallion-Dusk is down $482.34 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 21, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:26 AM UTC.
$80 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Aug 17, 2026 UTC to Oct 21, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 857.14 | $0.350 | $522.86 | +$222.86 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?No | buy | 155.96 | $0.013 | $2 | 3d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 23:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
17 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 05:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 05:26 UTC
polymarket positions
11 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-15 23:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $229.91 and losing ones cost $8.06 across 10 settled positions. 90% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $96.46 on “Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?” (No); the largest loss, $8.06 on “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 Oct 2026. It has traded 40 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.57K across 17 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 852.59 |
| $0.378 |
| $345.3 |
| +$23.3 |
 Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.540 | $258.33 | +$33.33 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1.76K | $0.170 | $238.24 | -$61.76 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 292.59 | $0.769 | $233.34 | +$8.34 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 369.63 | $0.590 | $212.54 | -$5.54 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 271.29 | $0.682 | $196.69 | +$11.69 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 869.78 | $0.197 | $173.96 | +$2.46 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 171.88 | $0.640 | $109.14 | -$0.86 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 136.49 | $0.740 | $103.05 | +$2.05 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 327.46 | $0.397 | $75.31 | -$54.68 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? | Yes | 747.22 | $0.174 | $52.31 | -$77.69 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 117.57 | $0.169 | $19.58 | -$0.29 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 39.44 | $0.270 | $15.58 | +$4.93 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 833.75 | $0.120 | $10.42 | -$89.58 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 133.33 | $0.090 | $3.2 | -$8.8 |
 Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.440 | $1.19 | -$3.81 |
| buy |
| 400.97 |
| $0.454 |
| $182 |
| 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?No | buy | 91.43 | $0.022 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 292.59 | $0.769 | $225 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No | buy | 451.61 | $0.310 | $140 | 6d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 135.59 | $0.590 | $80 | 8d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.310 | $32.55 | 9d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 403.22 | $0.600 | $241.93 | 9d ago |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 136.49 | $0.740 | $101 | 10d ago |
 Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Geekay Esports (BO3) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 PlayoffsG2 Esports | buy | 264.11 | $0.660 | $174.31 | 11d ago |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 193.34 | $0.917 | $177.37 | 11d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 234.03 | $0.590 | $138.08 | 12d ago |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 PlayoffsG2 Esports | buy | 124.61 | $0.204 | $25.42 | 12d ago |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.090 | $12 | 15d ago |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 193.35 | $0.776 | $150 | 15d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.540 | $225 | 16d ago |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?Yes | buy | 53.9 | $0.371 | $20 | 16d ago |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?Yes | sell | 92.32 | $0.476 | $43.93 | 16d ago |
 Will Messi get a guard of honour?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.900 | $8.95 | 18d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | 18d ago |
 Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a slime?Yes | buy | 42.73 | $0.110 | $4.7 | 18d ago |
 Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a spider again?Yes | buy | 73.04 | $0.685 | $50 | 18d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 403.23 | $0.620 | $250 | 19d ago |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?Yes | buy | 92.33 | $0.325 | $30 | 19d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 151.42 | $0.660 | $99.94 | 20d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?No | buy | 72.73 | $0.110 | $8 | 23d ago |
| Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group StageDarkZero Esports | sell | 110.08 | $0.002 | $0.21 | 23d ago |
| Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group StageDarkZero Esports | buy | 5.5K | $0.015 | $84.42 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 857.14 | $0.350 | $300 | 25d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 654.78 | $0.229 | $150 | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 1.76K | $0.170 | $300 | 25d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | sell | 445.25 | $0.778 | $346.45 | 25d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | 26d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 271.29 | $0.682 | $185 | 27d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 171.88 | $0.640 | $110 | 27d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 327.46 | $0.397 | $130 | 28d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Yes | buy | 747.22 | $0.174 | $130 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.021 | $10 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | buy | 445.26 | $0.561 | $250 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.200 | $240 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 144.44 | $0.270 | $39 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 955.56 | $0.018 | $17.19 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?Yes | buy | 56.34 | $0.710 | $40 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | buy | 833.75 | $0.120 | $100 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 126.67 | $0.150 | $19 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 189.79 | $0.146 | $27.65 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 151.42 | $0.495 | $75 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 41.16 | $0.121 | $5 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 117.57 | $0.169 | $19.87 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.