Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

politicsResolved

No, settled Aug 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$13.6K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 27, 2026 UTC

Topic room2026 US Midterms

Where it stands

Resolved No on 27 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 56 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 27 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 12.5% on 11 Jul 2026. $13.55K traded over the market's life.

41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 27 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Jul 2026	44.5%
27 Aug 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	6.68K
Misty Voyager AE77	Yes	1.5K
JAMJAMJAM4	Yes	297

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.