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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 12.76K | $0.827 | $10.91K | +$362.92 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 126.4 | $0.590 | $74.53 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.81K |
| $0.565 |
| $9.02K |
| +$2.92K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16.1K | $0.618 | $7.49K | -$2.46K |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 18.79K | $0.358 | $6.67K | -$48.91 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 7K | $0.546 | $5.14K | +$1.32K |
 Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? | No | 3.7K | $0.793 | $3.48K | +$543 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 9K | $0.351 | $3.16K | +$4.5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 3.7K | $0.790 | $3.16K | +$240.5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.24K | $0.796 | $2.76K | +$181.69 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 3.12K | $0.720 | $2.14K | -$109.2 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 2.22K | $0.694 | $1.92K | +$380.1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.600 | $1.31K | -$187.5 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.5K | $0.562 | $1.24K | -$161.24 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.48K | $0.029 | $1.12K | +$32.58 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.3K | $0.283 | $927.49 | -$571.37 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.430 | $862.5 | -$212.5 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 800 | $0.370 | $592 | +$296 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 799.99 | $0.680 | $575.99 | +$32 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.430 | $414 | -$102 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.2K | $0.410 | $414 | -$78 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.520 | $402 | -$222 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 799.99 | $0.264 | $365.2 | +$154 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 187.37 | $0.465 | $105.86 | +$18.75 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | Yes | 450 | $0.270 | $90 | -$31.5 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 126.4 | $0.590 | $89.11 | +$14.59 |
| buy |
| 14.29K |
| $0.360 |
| $5.15K |
| 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 14.28K | $0.830 | $11.85K | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.940 | $1.13K | 14d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.650 | $1.3K | 17d ago |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 694.66 | $0.818 | $568.23 | 18d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 380.91 | $0.558 | $212.6 | 20d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 4.5K | $0.830 | $3.74K | 20d ago |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | sell | 124.71 | $0.041 | $5.13 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | sell | 374.13 | $0.040 | $14.99 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | sell | 119.58 | $0.057 | $6.78 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | sell | 886.82 | $0.119 | $105.44 | 21d ago |
 Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | sell | 331.06 | $0.021 | $6.82 | 21d ago |
 Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | sell | 471 | $0.050 | $23.5 | 21d ago |
 Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 32.2 | $0.815 | $26.24 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.240 | $288 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.240 | $192 | 22d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 8K | $0.870 | $6.96K | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 919.1 | $0.210 | $193.01 | 23d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 3.1K | $0.047 | $147.14 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.695 | $703.51 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 110 | $0.700 | $77 | 28d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 800 | $0.852 | $681.56 | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | sell | 800 | $0.310 | $248 | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 21.49 | $0.409 | $8.79 | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.134 | $335 | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 2 | $0.705 | $1.41 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.590 | $2.07K | 28d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.380 | $68.4 | 28d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 11.51K | $0.510 | $5.87K | 28d ago |
 Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White SoxYes | buy | 650 | $0.480 | $312 | 28d ago |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Washington NationalsYes | buy | 25 | $0.530 | $13.25 | 28d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 5.57K | $0.992 | $5.53K | 29d ago |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 5.17K | $0.720 | $3.73K | 29d ago |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. AthleticsYes | buy | 83.24 | $0.540 | $44.95 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 117.35 | $0.450 | $52.81 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes | buy | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco GiantsYes | buy | 30 | $0.480 | $14.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes | buy | 55.03 | $0.500 | $27.52 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington NationalsYes | buy | 199.44 | $0.490 | $97.73 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes | buy | 123 | $0.530 | $65.19 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?No | buy | 23.6 | $0.274 | $6.47 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 286.54 | $0.796 | $228.09 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 504.93 | $0.780 | $393.85 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.860 | $6.88K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.700 | $560 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.51K | $0.047 | $353.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.046 | $128.9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.41K | $0.029 | $98.97 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.76K | $0.048 | $180.24 | Aug 2, 2026 |