Analytics
Yes is at 4.8%, down 43 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 13 May 2026.
Across the 166 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.5%; a month before, 1.4%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 33.5% on 24 Jul 2026.
$28.63K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.15K, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 191 trades, $1.09K bought Yes and $5.99K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Perypery with 4.7K shares; the largest No position is Failing-Obsidian with 4K. Ten wallets hold 92.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 166 points, 13 May 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | 47.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Perypery | Yes | 4.7K |
| Failing-Obsidian | No | 3.99K |
| hwey346ed | No | 2.1K |
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/federal-gas-tax-suspended-by
| pop |
| No |
| 1.4K |
| Nadmi | Yes | 1.27K |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 1.1K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 477.49 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 426.75 |
| arbdiscovery | No | 409 |
| willsom | No | 281.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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