Analytics
Profitable-Scallion-Dusk is down $482.34 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 857.14 | $0.350 | $522.86 | +$222.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 23:22 UTC
Polymarket public position response
17 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 07:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 07:55 UTC
polymarket positions
11 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-15 23:22 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $229.91 and losing ones cost $8.06 across 10 settled positions. 90% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $96.46 on “Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?” (No); the largest loss, $8.06 on “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?” (No).
It has traded 40 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.53K across 17 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 852.59 |
| $0.378 |
| $319.72 |
| -$2.28 |
 Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.540 | $258.33 | +$33.33 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 292.59 | $0.769 | $233.78 | +$8.78 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1.76K | $0.170 | $220.59 | -$79.41 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 369.63 | $0.590 | $214.38 | -$3.7 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 271.29 | $0.682 | $196.69 | +$11.69 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 869.78 | $0.197 | $173.96 | +$2.46 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 171.88 | $0.640 | $109.14 | -$0.86 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 136.49 | $0.740 | $102.36 | +$1.36 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 327.46 | $0.397 | $75.15 | -$54.85 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? | Yes | 747.22 | $0.174 | $52.31 | -$77.69 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 117.57 | $0.169 | $19.58 | -$0.29 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 39.44 | $0.270 | $15.58 | +$4.93 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 833.75 | $0.120 | $10.01 | -$89.99 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 133.33 | $0.090 | $2.73 | -$9.27 |
 Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.440 | $1.19 | -$3.81 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
