Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine hits Moscow by November 30?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.987 | $1.78 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.61 |
| $0.997 |
| $1.61 |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.997 | $1.03 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by November 30?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.997 | $1.73 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.999 | $1.74 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.993 | $1.08 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 0 times by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.975 | $2.32 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.995 | $1.4 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen 0 times by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.974 | $1.62 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.996 | $1.48 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No | sell | 1.95 | $0.960 | $1.87 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 2.3 | $0.996 | $2.29 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 2.93 | $0.998 | $2.92 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.992 | $2.29 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.970 | $1.9 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.997 | $1.49 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.998 | $2.93 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.989 | $1.07 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.990 | $1.13 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.992 | $1.49 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.994 | $1.14 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.994 | $1.5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.990 | $1.07 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.998 | $1.6 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.998 | $2.91 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.985 | $1.95 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 2025 August hottest on record?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.997 | $1.15 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| 2025 August hottest on record?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.995 | $1.15 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.997 | $1.42 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.997 | $1.22 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.999 | $1.83 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.994 | $1.38 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.965 | $1.04 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.992 | $1.19 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.740 | $1.6 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.995 | $1.2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.970 | $1.05 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.719 | $1.87 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.750 | $1.62 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 States call a Constitutional Convention before July?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.998 | $1.39 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.997 | $1.35 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Iranian officials visit the White House in June?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.998 | $1.48 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Starmer out before July?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.999 | $1.93 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.983 | $1.55 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | sell | 2.07 | $0.770 | $1.59 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 2 | $0.896 | $1.79 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.800 | $1.66 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.982 | $1.56 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 2 | $0.978 | $1.96 | Jun 26, 2025 |