Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $3.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 18.61 |
| $0.107 |
| $0.72 |
| -$1.28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.45 | $0.096 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.47 | $0.680 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 10.45 |
| $0.096 |
| $1 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?Yes | buy | 6.3 | $0.139 | $0.88 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?Yes | buy | 122.43 | $0.007 | $0.86 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?Yes | buy | 22.67 | $0.038 | $0.86 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.59 | $0.590 | $0.94 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 14.97 | $0.290 | $4.34 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.3 | $0.150 | $1.55 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 9.79 | $0.490 | $4.8 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.470 | $3.83 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.470 | $2.87 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.790 | $3.93 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.150 | $2.27 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.739 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.190 | $7.92 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.590 | $1.31 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.400 | $1.48 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.17 | $0.109 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.470 | $1.27 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.370 | $1.37 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.106 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.049 | $0.95 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.780 | $3.06 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.780 | $12 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.770 | $4.81 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.220 | $4.58 | Mar 12, 2026 |