Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?

Resolved

Yes, settled Apr 24, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$103.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Apr 24, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 24 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 14 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2026 to 24 Apr 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 15 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 69.5% on 16 Feb 2026. $103.31K traded over the market's life.

82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 25, 1:36 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 14 Feb 2026 – 24 Apr 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Feb 2026	46.5%
24 Apr 2026	99.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	29.63K
Trentprotect	No	3.8K
IulianaB	No	2.02K

10 of 82 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.