Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 470.88 | $0.149 | $35.32 | -$34.68 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 932.46 |
| $0.037 |
| $34.03 |
| -$0.96 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 476.19 | $0.084 | $27.14 | -$12.86 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | Yes | 393.09 | $0.102 | $18.48 | -$21.52 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | Yes | 200.29 | $0.075 | $12.72 | -$2.28 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.150 | $12.33 | +$2.33 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | Yes | 158.41 | $0.126 | $10.3 | -$9.7 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $3.25 | -$6.75 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 56.75 | $0.176 | $0.2 | -$9.8 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 93.33 | $0.053 | $0.14 | -$4.86 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 224.44 | $0.044 | $0.11 | -$9.89 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 192.31 | $0.052 | $0.1 | -$9.9 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 142.97 | $0.070 | $0.07 | -$9.93 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 46.69 | $0.107 | $0.07 | -$4.93 |
| buy |
| 129.87 |
| $0.077 |
| $10 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 106.73 | $0.094 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 95.91 | $0.104 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 208.92 | $0.024 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.071 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 46.69 | $0.107 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 93.33 | $0.054 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.75 | $0.176 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 333.39 | $0.885 | $295.05 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 104.38 | $0.096 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 344.65 | $0.029 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.032 | $31.62 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.005 | $3.33 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.005 | $4.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.014 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.020 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.006 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.009 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 181.98 | $0.110 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 156.67 | $0.064 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 544.68 | $0.018 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?Up | buy | 9.76 | $0.390 | $3.8 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 184.15 | $0.049 | $9.05 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 753.25 | $0.012 | $9.01 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?Yes | buy | 152.64 | $0.066 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.006 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 342.87 | $0.029 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 565.31 | $0.018 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.010 | $10 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.032 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 976.29 | $0.002 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |