Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$45.8K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 17, 2026 UTC

Topic roomFed and FOMC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 3.7% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 61 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 17 Jun 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 16 Jun 2026. $45.78K traded over the market's life.

44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 2:14 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 17 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 Apr 2026	3.7%
17 Jun 2026	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
fritzphantom123	Yes	10K
huyewell	Yes	3.33K
Brisk-Binoculars	Yes	2K

10 of 44 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.