Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$64.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 19 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.7%. Yes opened at 61% on 21 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2026 to 19 Jun 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.7% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 76.5% on 25 Apr 2026. $64.02K traded over the market's life.

78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 12:52 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 21 Mar 2026 – 19 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Mar 2026	61.0%
19 Jun 2026	97.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	15.88K
thisisthewaymamba	No	1.93K
Self-Assured-Puggle	No	1.06K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.