Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.220 | $2.5 | +$0.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.153 | $12.21 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 60 |
| $0.079 |
| $1.68 |
| -$3.06 |
| buy |
| 80 |
| $0.249 |
| $19.9 |
| 4d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.079 | $1.19 | 10d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.059 | $2.36 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.997 | $19.94 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.989 | $19.78 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.926 | $18.52 | May 27, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.910 | $26.39 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.111 | $3 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.098 | $2 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 152.28 | $0.151 | $22.99 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.099 | $2 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 78.43 | $0.051 | $4 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.056 | $3 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.063 | $10 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.072 | $20 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 515.52 | $0.830 | $427.88 | Feb 3, 2025 |