Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 751.23 | $0.133 | $29.67 | -$70.33 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 138.89 |
| $0.360 |
| $21.53 |
| -$28.47 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 117.65 | $0.170 | $15.88 | -$4.12 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 104.17 | $0.240 | $15.26 | -$9.74 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.150 | $10.83 | -$39.17 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 178.57 | $0.140 | $9.02 | -$15.98 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.090 | $6.06 | -$3.94 |
| buy |
| 111.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.660 | $40 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 174.83 | $0.229 | $40 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 97.66 | $0.512 | $50 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 751.23 | $0.084 | $63.1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 167.36 | $0.160 | $26.78 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 431.03 | $0.116 | $50 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.030 | $50 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 877.19 | $0.057 | $50 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.190 | $25 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 322.98 | $0.062 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.190 | $50 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 816.59 | $0.061 | $50 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.380 | $25 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 133.73 | $0.075 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 116.56 | $0.214 | $25 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 273.05 | $0.073 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.35 | $0.333 | $13.42 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 188.96 | $0.265 | $50 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.560 | $50 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.37 | $0.520 | $30.87 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 127.59 | $0.290 | $37 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 167.36 | $0.120 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.420 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 95.23 | $0.190 | $18.09 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.140 | $150 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes | buy | 172.44 | $0.116 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.380 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |