Latest trade
Jul 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 4:49 PM UTC.
arubaa is down $15.06 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 4:49 PM UTC.
$39.05 median trade
Its latest 128 trades covered 107 markets; 91.4% were buys. They run from Jul 6, 2024 UTC to Jul 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 326.65 | $0.612 | $240.09 | +$40.09 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 126.98 | $0.157 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
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Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 13:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 16:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
128 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 16:49 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-12 00:10 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $980.43 and losing ones cost $1.05K across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $123 on “TikTok sale announced before April?” (No); the largest loss, $117 on “TikTok sale announced in 2025?” (No).
It first traded on 6 Jul 2024 and most recently on 12 Jul 2026, 97 days ago. It has traded 144 markets. Its open positions are worth $240.09 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 121.21 |
| $0.412 |
| $50 |
| Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 102.74 | $0.730 | $75 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 326.65 | $0.612 | $200 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 116.28 | $0.430 | $50 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Yes | buy | 141.24 | $0.340 | $48.02 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Wizards | buy | 96.15 | $0.520 | $50 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 225.81 | $0.031 | $7 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Magic | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Wizards | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.335 | $33.54 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump sue the BBC?No | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
Will Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.500 | $13 | Oct 31, 2025 UTC |
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.269 | $13.45 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31No | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?No | buy | 75.67 | $0.380 | $28.75 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?No | buy | 40.15 | $0.490 | $19.67 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 125 | $0.600 | $75 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5)Boise State | buy | 86.96 | $0.460 | $40 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.320 | $57.14 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 113.37 | $0.617 | $70 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.386 | $38.6 | May 31, 2025 UTC |
Celtics vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | May 16, 2025 UTC |
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks | buy | 100 | $0.520 | $52 | May 16, 2025 UTC |
TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 300 | $0.590 | $177 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
Will $Trump FDV be $35-40b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jan 19, 2025 UTC |
Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jan 19, 2025 UTC |
Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.057 | $1.14 | Jan 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump save TikTok in first week?No | buy | 100 | $0.105 | $10.49 | Jan 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 0.4 | $0.240 | $0.1 | Jan 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 77.28 | $0.440 | $34 | Jan 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jan 19, 2025 UTC |
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.050 | $30 | Dec 20, 2024 UTC |
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "squirrel" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.160 | $9.6 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.